05/29/2026
by James Pacheco
We’re heading to the Mubadala New York Sail Grand Prix this weekend for the sixth event of the 2026 Rolex SailGP Championship, and there’s plenty to talk you through on the betting front before it gets underway. Here are the latest odds on the winner market of the New York event and some historical stats to point you in the right direction, if you’re considering having a bet on it.
Can the BONDS Flying Roos SailGP Team Make It Three On the Spin?
SailGP fans will be well aware that it’s been all about the BONDS Flying Roos SailGP Team in the last two events, winning in style at both the ENEL Rio Sail Grand Prix and then again at the APEX Group Bermuda Sail Grand Prix.
Unsurprisingly, the bookies have installed them as favorites to win the event in New York, going 3.33 that they make it three event wins in a row.
To give that some context, they were second-favorites at 3.98 behind Emirates Great Britain SailGP Team (who were 3.76) ahead of the Rio event and the 3.45 favorites to win in Bermuda.
Two somewhat obvious observations stand out here. Firstly, ahead of Bermuda and New York here, they’ve been the stand-alone favorites going into them. And secondly, that their pre-event odds have become marginally shorter as they continue to impress.
Or to put it another way, their implied probability to win has been on the up.
They were given a 25.1% chance to win in Rio, rising to a 29% chance to take the Bermuda event and are now given a slightly bigger chance of 30% to collect the maximum 10 points once again.
How Have the Aussies Fared in the Big Apple In The Past?
In Season 1, the BONDS Flying Roos finished as runners-up, with the Japan SailGP Team the only team to be too good for them, albeit in a field that at the time, only had six teams in it.
It had all gone to plan for Tom Slingsby and his crew in the fleet races, but as pointed out in our recap of New York’s most memorable SailGP moments: “With wind swirling off Midtown’s skyscrapers and tidal currents churning beneath the F50s, the Hudson gave the fleet the most technically demanding racecourse it had ever seen.”
SailGP historians may recall that this was Japan’s first-ever event win in SailGP.
In Season 2, there was no racing in New York; only San Francisco hosted an event in the US. Then, in Season 3, it was only Chicago that held an event on US waters.
But we were back here in Season 4 after a five-year break, and there was no joy for Slingsby on that occasion, either.
His team narrowly missed out on Sunday’s final, and he will have been watching as Antipodean rivals the Black Foils SailGP Team produced a masterclass under the leadership of Peter Burling to get the better of runners-up the NorthStar SailGP Team and third-placed Emirates GBR. The Kiwis were in rare form at the time, that event win being their fifth in 12.
The 2025 Season saw yet another different event winner here in NYC and it wasn’t the Australians this time, either. The latter managed a fifth place, missing out on the final again. Last year, it was the Los Gallos SailGP Team who were left spraying the champagne on Sunday afternoon, with the Black Foils almost replicating the previous season’s efforts and finishing just behind them.
If Not the Aussies, Then Who?
So whether you’re a SailGP fan looking to witness a different winner this week or a SailGP bettor looking to avoid the favorites, the evidence above suggests this isn’t one of Slingsby’s favorite stomping grounds.
Four events here and just a runner-up spot, with no finals contested in three of his four visits, aren’t great numbers for a team whose standards are as high as the Manhattan skyscrapers overlooking the bay where the action will unfold over the weekend.
Last year’s winners Los Gallos are 5.13 to the event this year, while Emirates GBR, who have surprisingly failed to make either of the last two finals this season, are the 4.55 second-favorites.
As for the other two past winning teams here in New York, you won’t be seeing them in action this weekend.
The Black Foils continue to wait for their F50 to be in a condition in which it can be raced, with the repairs on it still in progress after that nasty crash earlier on in the season.
Past Winner Returns With a Different Team
But here’s some food for thought. The man leading Japan SailGP’s Team to that win here in New York back in Season 1 – Nathan Outterridge – will be in action here, just in another team. He’s the driver of the Artemis SailGP Team these days, who are increasingly becoming a team to be respected.
They secured their first event podium finish in Rio and are currently in seventh of 13 in the Championship standings, a very solid effort for a team in their debut season in SailGP. So Outerridge has won here before, and the bookies make him 14.29 to become the first driver to win here twice.
There are, however, two teams ahead of this in the betting. The ROCKWOOL Racing SailGP Team are 13.33 with the Germany SailGP Team Presented by Deutsche Bank just a bit shorter at 8.0.
The home crowd darlings the United States SailGP Team are available at the same price as Artemis at 14.29, and this despite knowing conditions better than most and already having won an event themselves this season.
Starting points for our US readers
Starting points for our UK readers
Starting points for our Global readers