05/29/2026
by James Pacheco
The BONDS Flying Roos SailGP Team have been dominating the betting markets in the Rolex SailGP Championship over the past few weeks and with good reason, but what do we make of their price to take the opening race of Saturday’s Mubadala New York Sail Grand Prix? And are there better bets elsewhere? Spoiler alert: Los Gallos SailGP Team look the most solid bet of all this weekend, but read on to find out in which market that is.
BONDS Flying Roos SailGP Team Justified Favorites For Race 1 Glory
First up, what price are the Aussies?
They’re 3.7 to win Fleet Race 1, an understandable reflection of their position as the 3.33 favorites to win the event as a whole.
In mathematical terms, 3.7 means they have a 27% chance of winning the event’s opening race.
Winning an event’s first race is something they’re no strangers to doing so far this season. It’s precisely what they did at the Oracle Perth Sail Grand Prix, the ITM New Zealand Sail Grand Prix Auckland and the KPMG Sydney Sail Grand Prix, so the raw stats paint a very clear picture: Tom Slingsby and his crew are 3/5 this season when it comes to winning Fleet Race 1.
If you want to look at their odds in the simplest possible terms, they have a 62.5% strike rate when it comes to drawing first blood at SailGP events this season, yet are priced as having a 27% chance. As any seasoned bettor will tell you, based on that, they’re a good value price.
Good Reasons To Think Artemis SailGP Team Are a Good Bet for Race 1
But as SailGP fans know, there are two other teams that are never too far away from the summit of the betting markets: the Emirates Great Britain SailGP Team and Los Gallos SailGP Team, so it will be no surprise to them that they’re the next in the betting in the Race 1 winner market.
You can get 5.56 on the Brits, while the Spanish team, led by Diego Botin, is available at 6.45.
But interestingly, neither of those two has won Race 1 at one of the five events this season.
The Aussies managed that feat in all of the first three events of the season, but when the action moved to the ENEL Rio Sail Grand Prix in mid-April, it was the Artemis SailGP Team who won the event’s opening fleet race. And then at the Apex Group Bermuda Sail Grand Prix, it was Taylor Canfield and his United States SailGP Team who were the first to get 10 points on the board in Bermuda,
The Americans are the fifth favorites at 11.76 to win Race 1 for the second time this season, while Artemis are 12.5.
A reminder that Artemis’ driver Nathan Outteridge is no stranger to success here in New York, having won the event as a whole here with the Japan SailGP Team back in Season 1. But he didn’t manage to be first past the post in the event’s opening race, that honour falling to Tom Slingsby and his mates back in 2019.
So, with that win in Race 1 already this season, to go with Outteridge’s record here in New York, the price on the Swedish team is the one that stands out.
Are There Value Bets Elsewhere?
You could certainly argue that, based purely on past performances over the course of this current season, the odds of 1.8 on Los Gallos to make the final are, at worst, fair, and at best, inflated.
After all, having suffered problems with their F50 at the start of the season’s opener in Perth, which ruled them out of that event, they’ve now made the final in all of the next four events, proving that despite the inconsistent and unpredictable nature of SailGP as a whole, the Spaniards are the definition of consistency.
As it happens, they finished third in Auckland and Sydney and then second in Rio and Bermuda, in the process actually failing to win an event so far this season. But then again, this market doesn’t require the team you back to win the Final, it just requires them to make it to the final three. And Los Gallos have been pretty flawless at doing just that.
In fact, the only other team to have made four finals in four events so far this season are the BONDS Flying Roos and not only did they have the benefit of being in contention for all five events because their boat was in racing condition for all of them- unlike Los Gallos- they’re also just 1.15 to make the final here to the Spaniards’ 1.8.
So if you’re looking to play this market this weekend, make no mistake: the uber-consistent Los Gallos are a very solid bet to make Sunday’s final at 1.8.
Who Do the Bookies Fancy to Go All the Way?
And let’s round things off with a look at the Championship winner market.
No prizes for guessing who the market leaders are. Slingsby and his crew are 2.44, Emirates GBR are 2.79, and Los Gallos are 4.14. So yes, no surprises there.
But if you’re going to go for an outsider, now might be the time to do it.
The US SailGP Team are within touching distance of Los Gallos – 34 points on Botin and co plays 31 points on Caulfield and his crew – and a good result here on home waters would very much have them in the mix, with another event in North America just around the corner, where they should be confident of a good result as well.
Don’t discount Artemis, either. Outteridge has seen it all before in this sport at the highest level, and if he manages to book his place in that all-important Grand Final in Abu Dhabi, he’s not the sort of man to fold under pressure. The 26.32 that the Swedes win the Championship will look like a big price if they secure a Top 3 finish this weekend and climb up in the standings.
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