Best Sites for Hourly Solana Prediction Markets and How to Trade Them

November 9, 2026

by Emma Harrison

When trading hourly SOL prediction markets, you’ll be forecasting which way SOL’s price will swing by a specified hour. The question is, where do you find the hourly Solana markets? That’d be Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, and Crypto.com.

Polymarket is our top pick. It features the most active markets and offers a $25 welcome bonus and other rewards. Kalshi comes second because of its $10 welcome bonus, and Crypto.com’s third thanks to its trading volume-based fees and numerous payment methods. There are zero trading fees at Gemini, but it doesn’t always feature hourly SOL trading markets.

The Best Prediction Market Sites for Solana Hourly Markets

Trade event contracts on how SOL prices move within an hour

You can trade event contracts based on whether you think the price of Solana will move “Up” or “Down” (some sites list them as “Above” or “Below”), or meet a price range. There are multiple time frames for SOL prediction markets: 5 minutes, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours, daily, weekly, or monthly.

With hourly Solana prediction markets, contracts are traded based on the asset’s price within an hour. Here are two examples:

• SOL Up or Down Hourly.
• SOL price range today at 2pm EST: $94.25 to $94.4999.

The markets are framed as questions that you answer via “Yes” or “No” contracts. You’d take a “Yes” contract if you think an event is likely to occur and a “No” contract if you don’t think it will.

With this market: “SOL price range today at 2pm EST: $94.25 to $94.4999”. You’d take a “Yes’’ contract if you believe the price of SOL will hit between $94.25 and $94.4999 at the specified time. Taking a “No” contract means you think the asset’s price will settle outside the specified range at the designated time.

Markets settle at $1 for correct predictions and at $0 for incorrect ones. One more thing: similar to other hourly crypto prediction markets, the markets are quite volatile.

Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, and Crypto.com are worth a look

Our checks revealed four sites where you can trade on Solana’s price movements. Here’s what they offer:

Kalshi – There’s a $10 welcome bonus waiting

Polymarket – Get active and claim rewards

Gemini – No fees required here

Crypto.com – Your trading volume sets your trading fees

Pros and cons of SOL hourly trading markets

Before you start trading on SOL price movements, we’d like you to consider its upsides and downsides:

It only takes 4 steps to get started

Trading in Solana hourly trading markets for the first time isn’t difficult if you know how. Here are some tips we’ve curated to help you get started:

1. Reading about Solana helps. Before you start trading, we recommend that you do some research about the asset. Get familiar with the Solana ecosystem and other things that may affect its price. Pay close attention to Spot Solana ETFs, whale activity, Bitcoin’s movements, and network performance. You don’t have to be an expert. Just do enough research to understand how the asset works. Plus, stay updated about its latest trends.

2. Create your account. You’d need to register at a prediction market site that features hourly Solana event contracts. Here are the steps you’d take to get started at any of our recommended sites:

   • Click on the banners we’ve put on this page to visit your preferred prediction market brand.
   • Tap the “Sign Up” or appropriate button to start the registration process.
   • Follow the prompts to verify your account.
   • Make a deposit.
   • Find the site’s “Crypto” category.
   • Choose the “Hourly” option.
   • Pick a SOL market that suits you and purchase the number of contracts that you want.
   • Confirm your trade.
   • Wait for the market to settle.

   Besides the part where you wait for markets to resolve, completing the other steps shouldn’t take more than 10 minutes.

3. You’ve got the option of selling early. One aspect of trading event contracts we like is that you don’t have to wait until the market is resolved before you sell your contract.

   You could do this to lock in any profits that you may have gotten from price movements. Another reason to sell early is to minimize any cuts in profits caused by price movements.

4. Study the fee formulas. Understanding how trading fees work is a must-do. Here’s a quick look at how trading fees work at our top sites: Kalshi’s trading fees are based on the formula: round up (0.07 x C x P x (1-P)). “P” here stands for the contract’s implied probability (in dollars), and “C” is the number of contracts.

   Trading fees at Polymarket US are also determined by a formula: Θ × C × p × (1 – p). “Θ” is the fee coefficient, “p” is the trade price, and “C” is the number of contracts.

   At Crypto.com, your trading fee is determined by your trading volume over a 30-day window. Quick tip: your trading fees reduce as your trading volume increases. With Gemini, you don’t have to bother with trading fees. That doesn’t automatically make it the best pick of the lot. There’re other things to consider, such as the availability of SOL hourly markets.

5 quick facts to note about trading hourly Solana event contracts

• You can trade event contracts on which side the asset’s price swings by a specified hour.
• Kalshi, Polymarket US, Gemini, and Crypto.com are our top Solana prediction market exchanges.
• Polymarket US tops the list with the most active markets.
• Gemini doesn’t charge trading fees, but it doesn’t always have active markets.
• Besides hourly SOL markets, you can also trade in multiple markets, including daily SOL prediction markets.

Conclusion – Pick a site that suits you

Polymarket US tops our list of SOL hourly market sites to use. Why? It features the most active contracts in different formats. There’s also a $25 welcome bonus and other trading-based rewards as a sweetener. You’d also get a $10 welcome bonus at Kalshi after signing up. So, both sites let you keep some of your funds on your first trade.

Then there’s Crypto.com. It supports 350+ cryptocurrencies and 5 fiat methods for transactions, so you’ll have multiple options for making payments. Plus, a higher trading volume gets you lower trading fees.

There are no trading fees at Gemini. The site’s downside is that it doesn’t always have active 1-hour SOL markets. Keep that in mind.

Now that we’ve laid it all out for you, picking a site that suits you is a lot easier. Once you’ve done that, click on our on-page banners and follow the prompts to start trading.

Our Highly Recommended Prediction Markets

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Hourly SOL prediction markets FAQs

1. 🎰 Can you change your contract before the market settles?

   No, you can’t. But you can sell it before the market settles if you’re looking to lock in profits or minimize downsides.

2. ❓ What’s the difference between trading SOL and trading its event contracts?

   When trading SOL, you’re trading the asset. With SOL event contracts, you’ll be trading based on the outcome of an event linked to SOL.

3. 🔍 Are there other SOL markets besides the 1-hour market?

   Yes, there are. You can trade 5-minute, 15-minute, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual markets.

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