July 24, 2026
by James Pacheco
A major category of interest at peer-2-peer prediction trading exchanges is business and economy – but specifically, the finances, productivity, and profitability of the largest companies in the world like Tesla, Google, Microsoft, and META.
This has given rise to categories like upcoming earnings in prediction markets where you can trade yes and no contracts relating to the estimated potential monthly, quarterly, and annual revenue of these large corporations. We take a look at this niche type of prediction market in the guide below, plus other similar markets from our chosen prediction market sites.
Top Prediction Market Sites to Try
How do upcoming earnings prediction markets work?
From our experience, the top prediction trading exchanges heavily feature business, industry, and the economy in their prediction market offering and this can include things like stock price prediction markets, company valuations, and IPO releases. However, a popular type of prediction category we are seeing is upcoming earnings prediction markets.
Typically, in the world of business, large corporations will release earnings/revenue/profitability figures periodically to see how they are performing against their expected forecasts, and to give confidence to their shareholders. As these earnings reports are usually publicly available, they have become the subject of prediction trading at P2P exchanges like Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com.
We can look at an example to make things clearer. One of the major companies often featured in this type of prediction is META, and there could be a prediction such as:
“Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?”
In this scenario, it’s known that Meta typically releases quarterly earnings reports. Additionally, there are financial estimates from reputable sources that state what they think these quarterly earnings figures will be – this is what the prediction is based on – whether or not Meta’s ACTUAL released quarterly earnings will be higher or lower than the estimations.
In this example, you could buy yes event contracts for $0.95 each if you believe they WILL beat estimations, or you can buy no event contracts for $0.09 each if you think the estimates are too high. The prediction would then eventually resolve, and depending on if your event contracts settled in or out-of-the-money, you would make a $1 or $0 return per held event contract.
Pros and cons of upcoming earnings prediction markets
Similar to any of the economy prediction markets, earnings predictions have their pros and cons. On the positive side, there is a wealth of actual data and research that you can utilize on this subject from reputable think tanks and organizations – the earnings and profitability of huge corporations is of public interest, so you do have the ability to make more educated trading decisions.
Additionally, due to the prominence of organizations like Meta, Google, and Tesla, which are regularly featured in these predictions, there is often plenty of liquidity and trade volume for the contracts. However, compared to other types of predictions, ultimately, if you want to really be effective and make the best decisions, you will need to put in a lot more time and effort to do that aforementioned research – these can be time-intense predictions to trade.
Pros and Cons - High trade volume.
- Plenty of prediction variety.
- Lots of public knowledge available.
- Great for medium and long term strategies.
- A time-intense prediction category.
Examples of active earnings prediction markets
Earnings predictions generally cover a range of different specific markets, such as:
- Monthly earnings reports.
- Quarterly earnings reports.
- Annual earnings reports.
- X vs Y earnings predictions.
- Fed decisions.
- Interest rates.
- Earnings mentions from calls.
Quarterly earnings report predictions are the most common type, but we have seen a range of complementary markets which relate to earnings and the profitability of companies. You can get incredibly detailed with this subject and we have listed some actual examples taken from our three recommended exchanges below:
| Earnings Prediction | Provider | Yes | No |
| Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings? | Polymarket | 95c | 9c |
| Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | Polymarket | 92c | 9c |
| What will Google say during their next earnings call? (Search Advertising) | Kalshi | 48c | 53c |
| Fed decision in July? (Fed maintains rate) | Kalshi | 86c | 15c |
| Fed decision in October? (0bps Unchanged) | Crypto.com | 64c | 41c |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | Polymarket | 96c | 3.9c |
Please note that these predictions were live at the time we wrote this guide – they may no longer be available when you read it, or the prices will likely have changed – it’s merely a snapshot for demonstrative purposes.
Three top sites featuring upcoming earnings prediction markets
Not every P2P exchange has earnings prediction markets and from our research and testing, we’ve found that some options are better than others – offering a much wider spectrum of related markets. Based on that, we’ve picked out three recommendations which we believe represent the best value and trading opportunities for earnings-related predictions.
Kalshi – great for earning call mentions
Kalshi: Pros & Cons - Broad range of markets
- 24/7 live chat support
- Huge reputation
- Native mobile app
Like we said in our Kalshi review, this is one of the top exchanges for business and financial predictions. Not only does it have markets like S&P 500 prediction markets, but it also has dedicated earnings sections. Interestingly enough, it has a category for earnings call predictions. These provide a range of different buzzwords that the companies are likely to mention during their reports. You can also trade general earnings predictions, plus other company categories like CEOs, indices, KPIs, and IPO releases.
To facilitate these prediction trading opportunities, Kalshi also has a superb desktop website and mobile apps – they offer a heap of information relating to each prediction, and we love the usability of all its platforms. On top of that, due to the popularity and prominence of this exchange, for most of the predictions you can expect to find a large trade volume, and plenty of liquidity.
Polymarket – diverse collection of earning report predictions
Polymarket: Pros and Cons - Numerous markets on sports, crypto, the economy, and politics
- Regulated by the CFTC
- Multiple rewards for existing traders
Similar to Kalshi, Polymarket has gone all-in on upcoming earnings prediction markets, and it has one of the most diverse collections of quarterly predictions, featuring companies like Meta, Google, Tesla, General Dynamics, Microsoft, and Lockheed Martin. In addition to this, it has an entire range of company-related predictions such as indices, IPOs, KPIs, treasuries, acquisitions, and Fed rates.
As you can see in our Polymarket review, this site is available in the US, BUT, you can only currently trade using either the Android or iOS mobile app. The Polymarket website is read-only due to regulations and where it was created, and you cannot use it to make trades or credit your account. Regardless, this exchange has a fantastic set of features, the mobile apps are of brilliant quality, and it offers relatively low trading fees, which can be $0 depending on the prediction market category.
Crypto.com: Pros and Cons - Welcome bonus
- Broad range of markets
- High-performance mobile app
Crypto.com offers dedicated sections for economics, tech, and financials, and within these you can find various markets for company earnings and other related aspects. It doesn’t have as much to offer as Kalshi and Polymarket in terms of direct earnings reports. However, it does have an entire selection of Fed-related predictions such as Fed decisions, ECB interest rate changes, and general US economic indicators such as unemployment, and recession markers.
This site also has the benefit of the established Crypto.com brand and its existing features. This has been an active trading exchange for some time now, specializing in crypto, and it offers a robust banking setup where you can credit your account using either crypto or fiat payments. Lastly, Crypto.com also has several different event contract price iterations including $1 and $10 versions to give you more flexibility.
Sponsored by Crypto.com – Not investment advice. Trading prediction markets and crypto involves risk, including potential loss of your stake. Consider your risk tolerance before participating. Crypto.com connects U.S. users to CDNA (regulated by CFTC) for derivatives trading. CDNA membership required. Trading may not be suitable for all—you could lose your entire investment plus fees. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. This is not a solicitation or recommendation to trade.
Earnings predictions provide great medium and long term trading potential
Time-specific categories like upcoming earnings Q1 prediction markets have incredible potential for those who are interested in large corporations and global economies. Due to their frequency, they can also serve as viable medium or long term options to incorporate as part of your trading strategy. If you think this is indeed something you want to get involved in, you can click any of the banners we have on this page and get signed up at one of the relevant sites like Kalshi, Polymarket, or Crypto.com.
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Upcoming earnings prediction markets FAQs
- 📈 Do all US prediction exchanges feature earnings predictions?
Not necessarily. Although business and company dealings are incredibly popular at P2P exchanges, there are some providers that concentrate on other events such as sports or politics. This is why Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com are all excellent options as they all heavily feature these types of predictions.
- 💵 What happens if your earnings predictions settle out-of-the-money?
If you decide to hold your earnings prediction event contracts, and you get the prediction WRONG, they have settled out-of-the-money and in this case you would get $0 return.
- 🚀 How do you start trading upcoming earnings prediction markets?
The first step is to register an account with one of our recommended prediction trading exchanges. After doing that, you will need to deposit money into your account. The final step is to browse the available earnings predictions and execute a trade order for the contracts you wish to buy.
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