July 23, 2026
by Emma Harrison
The Tour de France enters its decisive final weekend this Friday with perhaps its harshest sting in the tail, this hellacious climb from the town of Gap up Alpe d’Huez. With prediction market promotions, it could offer you some opportunities.
This is a sporting occasion that may well be a lot more enjoyable for the viewer than the participants. While 127 kilometers is one of the shorter stages in the overall race, this is the dictionary definition of “it’s all uphill from here”. A gradient of more than 8.1% awaits the riders who make it to the final bends of this stage.
Who’s leading the race?
Slovenia’s Tadej Pogacar currently holds a lead in the region of five minutes after the exit from the race of main competitor Jonas Vingegaard. Pogacar, one of the greatest climbers in the history of road cycling, is a strong contender for this stage, too, with his extreme levels of endurance making a climb like this his happy place. If anyone in the general classification harbors hopes of closing his lead, they’ll need to go to Hell and back to outperform him on Alpe d’Huez’s punishing hairpins and dramatic uphill pushes. There’s a reason he’s almost unbackable at the main prediction markets.
While Friday’s racing promises to be punishing for all the cyclists involved, market promos mean that it doesn’t have to be such a drag for you at the best sports prediction markets. Here’s a look at the best promotions on the top platforms:
Kalshi – best for esoteric markets
Kalshi: Pros & Cons - Broad range of markets
- 24/7 live chat support
- Huge reputation
- Native mobile app
Cycling fans always enjoy the deep lore of a race, taking a look beyond the racer in yellow and getting into the sprints, the climbs, and the tactics of a race, and it’s exactly that kind of data that makes Kalshi an ideal choice for those looking to make predictions on the Tour de France. To those who have read our Kalshi review, it will be no surprise that there are markets for individual stage winners, winning teams, and the other jerseys alongside the maillot jaune. Not only that, but Kalshi offers a starting bonus of $10 to our readers using the promo code PREDICTSAIL, which is a lot easier than climbing an Alp.
Polymarket – best for main markets
Polymarket: Pros and Cons - Numerous markets on sports, crypto, the economy, and politics
- Regulated by the CFTC
- Multiple rewards for existing traders
Polymarket is largely on a par with the other top prediction market sites in terms of depth of markets for the Tour, and its outright winner market has taken close to $1million in trading volume. There are also markets on the green, white, and polka-dot jerseys for best sprinter, best rider under 26, and best climber. As our Polymarket review makes clear, there isn’t likely to be any issue with liquidity in these markets, and you also have a chance to add $50 to your predicting balance by using promocode PREDICTSAIL when depositing.
Crypto.com: Pros and Cons - Welcome bonus
- Broad range of markets
- High-performance mobile app
Crypto.com has less diverse markets than some of the other prediction market platforms, but it stands out as a potential option for plenty of other reasons. For one, you can deposit in any of more than 350 cryptocurrencies, which is a huge range. For another, even without a Crypto.com promo code, you can benefit from a matched deposit bonus of up to $250 when you sign up. Even though it’s one of the less well-known prediction market sites, Crypto.com is gaining in popularity, and it’s well worth checking out for its Tour de France markets.
No uphill battle for you on prediction sites
Around brunch time in France, the remaining cyclists in this race will be putting themselves to the test of pushing up some of the Tour’s most fearsome climbs. You can enjoy it all with your phone in your hand while watching on your laptop, and if you click our banners and links you can even get some useful prediction market promos before making your bold predictions. Worth a moment of your time? Pourquoi pas?