Buccaneers vs Cowboys Predictions at Prediction Market Sites for Thursday Night Football on October 8th
NFL Week 5 TNF is here, opening with Tampa Bay Buccaneers on-the-road at the Dallas Cowboys’ home turf, AT&T Stadium, and traders have Buccaneers v Cowboys NFL predictions pegged as a clear favorite facing off against a loud underdog.
Going by the best prediction market sites, like Kalshi, Polymarket, and Plus500, the matchup is lopsided, with the Cowboys favored to win at ~80% likelihood, vis-à-vis the Buccaneers at a paltry ~20%. And it’s not for nought as the TB Buccaneers are on four straight losses (0-4), whereas the DAL Cowboys are holding out (2-2) this far. Here’s more.
| Platform | Market | TB Buccaneers (YES) | Implied prob. | DAL Cowboys (YES) | Implied prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Winner — Oct 8 | ¢21 | 21% | ¢80 | 80% |
| Polymarket | Winner — Oct 8 | ¢21 | 21% | ¢80 | 80% |
Best prediction market sites for Buccaneers v Cowboys & early insights
Thursday Night Football of the NFL Week 5 (this October 8th) kicks-off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers visiting Dallas Cowboys at the AT&T Stadium in what’s building up to be a “mismatch on paper,” but the details may suggest otherwise. Looking in, the best prediction market sites, like Kalshi, Polymarket, and Plus500, have the Cowboys pegged as the clear favorites with the cleanest read; with traders moving beyond a “coin toss,” as they’re levelled at a ~80% likelihood to win vis-à-vis the Buccaneers at a low ~20%.
So, why the mismatch? Well, the Dallas Cowboys are holding out at a 2-2 win record this far. Currently, they’re tied for second in the NFC East and scoring like a contender. The bigger introspection lies with the Buccaneers. They’re riding four straight losses, are sitting last in the NFC South, and have a shaky lineup with prediction market news, blasting that their franchise quarterback, Baker Mayfield, is out on right-thumb injury. Now replaced by undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels. It’s fair to say that the lopsided speculation is largely from the quarterback room situation.
Still, they’re holding out rather remarkably despite the back-to-back losses, only losing every game by one score (8 points or fewer), which suggests they’re not going down without a fight. Now that you’re well caught up, let’s take a closer look at the marquee NFL prediction markets and bonuses you’re up for.
Kalshi – trade $25, get up to $2,000 in trading credits (randomized)

- Broad range of markets
- 24/7 live chat support
- Huge reputation
- Native mobile app
- Transaction fees
Kicking off the list is Kalshi, arguably the most recognizable CFTC-regulated exchange, and currently, pushing the ceiling for the trading bonus you’re up for. Going by our exhaustive Kalshi review, we can confirm that you’re eligible for up to $2,000 in trading credits on trading a cumulative of $25. That’s right, you’d only need to register with our Kalshi promo code, meet the minimum deposit & cumulative trade requirement, and voila, the bonus will be credited for use in the upcoming Buccaneers v Cowboys matchup. Better yet, the event contracts are live with all the usuals, like Game winner, spread, total, team totals, and player/game promos, etc., fielded.
Polymarket – get $50 trading credits for the Buccaneers @ Cowboys matchup

- Numerous markets on sports, crypto, the economy, and politics
- Regulated by the CFTC
- Multiple rewards for existing traders
- Crypto payments only
Next on the list is Polymarket, widely regarded as the liquidity leader, especially for high-profile events, and our Polymarket review found that they don’t hold back in the bonus department either. We found a deposit $10, get $50 trading bonus, also usable on the Buccaneers @ Cowboys matchup; claimable via our Polymarket link & code. More to it, Polymarket is highlight worthy for its granular market if you’re looking for more options when making your picks. You’ll get everything from all the go-tos, like moneylines, spreads, totals, props, and combo markets for the encounter.
Plus500 – trade $10, get $20 for Buccaneers v Cowboys

- Exclusive welcome offer
- Dedicated mobile apps
- Responsive customer support
- No existing prediction trader promos
Rounding up the list is Plus500, one of the newer prediction markets and going by our thorough Plus500 review—check it out to learn more of its workings and step-by-step to claiming your bonus; you’re eligible for a trade $10, get $20 in trading credits also usable on the upcoming Buccaneers v Cowboys game. Plus, NFL prediction markets are all too similar, including moneylines (winner market) that you can jump-in on.
Lock in your Buccaneers v Cowboys predictions with these bonuses
So, you have it: we’re counting down hours till kick-off for NFL Week 5 with the Buccaneers @ Cowboys matchup. Early projections, based on trader sentiment, suggest this is likely to be lopsided due to the quarterback room situation. Grab your bonus via our on-page links & code and lock in your picks ahead of time.