July 10, 2026
by Emma Harrison
Conor McGregor makes his awaited return to the octagon on July 11. He headlines UFC 329, fighting Max Holloway, and our Polymarket promo code: PREDICTSAIL is here to get you in on the action with a $50 sign-up bonus.
There’s enormous attention around this MMA event among combat sports fans. As a result, there have been movements on prediction market platforms. The current sentiment leans towards Holloway taking the day. But will a returning McGregor do him in instead? We’ve got the analysis, top trading markets, and steps for getting your Polymarket bonus here. Read on to the end.
How Polymarket sees the McGregor v Holloway fight
It’s been more than a decade since Conor McGregor fought Max Holloway. At UFC 329, they renew their rivalry. Whereas in the last fight, both were competing at a high level, for this one, McGregor is only returning to the octagon after some time away. Thus, prediction markets favor Holloway to win as a result. He’s been consistently fighting and would want to dim any hopes of a victorious McGregor return.
Let’s have a look at some of our top picks and predictions for this fight.
Max Holloway to win (65%+ Chance)
Conor McGregor has legendary knockout power. His career has been defined by his ability to put his opponents to sleep when they least expect it. However, sports prediction markets have Holloway as the favorite to win at over 65%.
Much of this goes back to his activity in the period that McGregor has been away from the sport. More importantly, it is his fighting style that has traders favoring him to win. He has a high striking volume and is known to sustain hits without going down easily.
Fight won by KO/TKO (90% Chance)
Fans and traders expect the fight to be won by a knockout or a technical knockout. The reason is simple: McGregor is deadly at them, while Holloway can also unleash one or two.
As such, there is a conviction that one of them will try to knock out the other at some point in the match. The sentiment when you read prediction market news around the event is bullish on a KO/TKO.
McGregor v Holloway does not go the distance (81% Chance)
This being McGregor’s first official combat match in a while, fans are not expecting it to go the distance. Likewise, the rapid fighting style of Holloway that yields high strike volume also points to the fight not going the distance.
With a knockout or TKO on the cards, some traders expect this match to end before the bell. The outcome is currently attracting the majority of traders who feel UFC 329 won’t go the distance. Our Polymarket review is thorough and will help you understand how implied chance affects how traders trade different events.
How you can trade McGregor v Holloway on Polymarket
Polymarket allows you to conveniently trade your prediction on this event contract. Below is a quick look at the markets.
| Feature | Details |
| How to get the code | Click a banner on this page to reveal the Caesars Ohio promo code and visit the sportsbook site. |
| Sign-up | Register a new account. |
| Verification | Verify your ID if required. |
| Deposit | Make an initial deposit. |
| First bet | Place your minimum $1 first bet. |
- Tap the Polymarket banners on this page.
- Once you land on the website, click the sign up button.
- Enter your particulars as prompted.
- Use our exclusive Polymarket promo code: PREDICTSAIL.
- Submit the form
- Your account is now created.
Your $50 Polymarket sign up bonus is unlocked when you deposit and trade at least $20. Proceed to this to get your gift and start trading.
Our pick for UFC 329: Max Holloway to win
UFC 329 is just around the corner, and fans are looking forward to Conor McGregor’s return to elite fighting. The welcome fight? A rematch with Max Holloway, more than a decade later. Holloway is our pick to win because he’s been actively fighting against elite fighters. Compared to McGregor, who took some time away, Holloway has been at it, and it should be to his advantage alongside his durability and striking volume.
Polymarket is giving you a cool $50 welcome bonus you can use to trade UFC 329. Head on to the platform by clicking any of our banners, claim your bonus using our Polymarket promo code PREDICTSAIL, and lock in your YES/NO prices early.