Singapore Grand Prix Predictions at Prediction Market Sites for Sunday October 11th
Formula 1 heads to Singapore’s Marina Bay for the first Sprint weekend in the course’s history, with a Grand Prix starting at 8pm local time on Sunday. You can make your Singapore F1 Grand Prix predictions on Kalshi and Polymarket.
The Championship is led by Kimi Antonielli, who is increasingly looking inevitable in this year’s title race, but he can’t secure the overall competition here and he may be held off by a win for race favorite Max Verstappen, who won the last race and is looking commanding right now. Below, we look at the key stories.
| Driver | Team | Kalshi (Yes) | Polymarket (Yes) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | Red Bull | $0.31 (31%) | $0.29 (29%) |
| Kimi Antonielli | Mercedes | $0.25 (25%) | $0.24 (24%) |
| Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | $0.15 (15%) | $0.15 (15%) |
| Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | $0.12 (12%) | $0.12 (12%) |
| Lando Norris | McLaren | $0.12 (12%) | $0.14 (14%) |
Singapore Grand Prix preview
Verstappen arrives in Singapore off the back of his first win in 2026, and Red Bull’s continuing push for upgrades has made his car a genuine front-runner again. Singapore is also the one GP he has never won, although he’s run second multiple times. Traders have him at around 30% likelihood to win so he’s more likely than anyone else in the eyes of sports prediction markets, but there’s plenty of scope for him not to.
Antonielli has the stronger season behind him and has a firm grip on the title race; he’s shown unnerving quality to achieve wins in places like Monza where he started 19th on the grid. The prediction market news is definitely better for him than for George Russell, whose power unit failed last time out in Malaysia and who will be running on a new setup in Singapore – never great for continuity.
Best prediction markets for the Singapore Grand Prix
Kalshi and Polymarket both rank among the best prediction markets for trading F1, with plenty of market options including race winners and the Drivers’ Championship. And each has offers for new users that can amount to a lot of trading potential.
Kalshi: Deep F1 markets with potential $2000 bonuses
- Broad range of markets
- 24/7 live chat support
- Huge reputation
- Native mobile app
- Transaction fees
Kalshi has contracts for every driver on the Singapore grid, and tight spreads on the front-runners. It also has a significant wider sports offering, on which you can find more details in our full Kalshi review. New users can unlock a trading bonus of up to $2000 once they have completed $25 in cumulative trades. The full $2000 is not guaranteed, and the amount of your bonus is randomly determined with most users receiving a smaller tier usually between $10 and $100, but there are other options that can guarantee up to $55. Either way, it’s a great place to start trading event contracts.
Polymarket: Race-winner and podium markets with fixed bonus
- Numerous markets on sports, crypto, the economy, and politics
- Regulated by the CFTC
- Multiple rewards for existing traders
- Crypto payments only
Polymarket lists both race-winner and podium markets for the Singapore Grand Prix, so you can trade ‘Yes’ on a driver finishing in a podium spot if you’re not confident on an outright winner. Our Polymarket review explains how it works, and if you’re a fan of certainty you will also like its reliable liquidity and its guaranteed $25 bonus when you sign up and make a minimum deposit of $10. From there, you can make trades on sports, politics, technology and even the weather.
Claim your bonuses and predict the weekend’s race
It’s really trivially simple to get signed up to new prediction market sites and get started trading. Just do the following:
- Click our banners to head over to the sites and create your accounts, if you want.
- Make your initial deposit. It will need to be at least $25 at Kalshi and $10 at Polymarket
- At Kalshi, complete $25 in cumulative trades on eligible markets. This includes the Singapore GP.
Your randomised bonus is credited at Kalshi once trading has completed; at Polymarket, it’s once you have deposited.Then you can use your bonuses to trade on more markets – the bonuses are not withdrawable until they’ve been used in trading